Diary of the Second Addams Administration 12.

Posted on March 27, 2025 by jsh54

For a long time, the United States has imposed lower tariffs on the goods of its trading partners than those trading partners have imposed on American goods. The US did this because the national strategy was to foster a world of openish markets in pursuit of “peace, prosperity, and American exports around the world.”[1] A month into office, President Donald Trump is announcing the end of the Age of America as the “benevolent hegemon.” Now it is “pursuing its own interests first.”[2] Trump’s actions began wreaking havoc in the international economy. He doubled the tariff on Chinese goods, announced a looming 25 percent tariff on imported steel and aluminum, and raised the possibility of tariffs on semi-conductors, drugs (and not the fentanyl kind either), and cars.

Take the example of cars. About 8 million of the 16 million new cars sold in the United States each year are manufactured abroad, chiefly in Germany, Japan, and South Korea. Many more “foreign” cars are manufactured in American plants. In late February 2025, President Donald Trump raised the idea of imposing a 25 percent tariff on car imports.[3] One solution might be for foreign car-makers to increase production in their American facilities, while reducing exports to the United States. Fine, except that a) it takes along time to build a car plant and recruit a work force, and Trump might be out of office before the plants are ready, taking his tariffs with him back to Mar-a-Lago; and b) if they cut manufacturing in their home country, they will have to lay off many workers there, as well as taking the political heat that comes with the lay-offs.

Then there’s steel.[4] Many foreign countries subsidize their own steel industries at the expense of American producers. Eighty percent of America’s steel imports come from “friendly” countries (Europe, Japan), rather than from China.[5] Trump wants to privilege American steel-producers over those foreign competitors. American steel-consumers—car companies for example, and their American customers—will have to bear the transitional costs.

The push-back came swift and hard. Basically, “He did this in his first term and the results were BAD!” Prices rose, American companies saw their sales fall, and car companies came under a lot of financial stress.[6] Moreover, bullying our friends gains us nothing. Canada—the country that invented hockey—dropped the gloves, at least rhetorically for the moment.[7]

On the other hand, some observers thought that the threat of tariffs could serve a useful purpose. It could bring foreign trading partners to renegotiate existing trade deals.[8] In short, Trump isn’t serious about actually imposing the tariffs.

But what if he is serious? And what if he insists on including the reduction of Non-Tariff Barriers (NTB) to trade? This would include things like currency manipulation, and the taxation and regulation of American businesses abroad. Eeeek!

[1] “Trump’s tariffs: A new era of protectionism,” The Week, 28 February 2025, p. 34.

[2] See Oren Cass, quoted in “Tariffs: Does Trump know what he is doing?” The Week, 14 February 2025, p. 6.

[3] “Trade: Tariffs may hike foreign car prices,” The Week, 28 February 2025, p. 32.

[4] “Trum brings back steel tariffs,” The Week, 21 February 2025, p. 32.

[5] That is, our “friends” have been harming us for decades in the service of domestic interest groups.

[6] “Trump’s tariffs: A new era of protectionism,” The Week, 28 February 2025, p. 34.

[7] “Canada: Proudly resisting Trump’s bullying,” The Week, 14 February 2025, p. 14.

[8] “Tariffs: Does Trump know what he is doing?” The Week, 14 February 2025, p. 6.

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 11.

Posted on March 27, 2025 by jsh54

The year began with a menacing fact about Sino- American trade. In the course of the last year of the interminable Biden presidency, China’s global trade surplus hit $992 billion, the highest ever. China’s surplus in trade with the United States reached almost $525 billion.[1] That’s over half of the total trade surplus for the year. This news came as a grim confirmation of fears to people who think that trade deficits represent job losses in the deficit country, represent a victory for the chief rival of the United States, and that China is trying to export its way out of grave domestic economic problems.

This fact provides important background to President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff policy. Trump had promised to impose tariffs “on Day 1.” He didn’t quite do that. No sooner was he inaugurated than Trump said that he was considering a 10 percent increase on the existing tariffs on imports from China and a 25 percent tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico.[2] The tariffs would go into effect on 1 February 2025.

“He’s a fake!” chortled Never-Trump pundits in early January 2025.[3] He campaigned on levying tariffs of 10-20 percent on all imports from everywhere. Now the President-elect is talking about focused tariffs on a few things. Others took a more nuanced view. This is his second term, so people have become accustomed to his “bluster.” More than likely, he talks about tariffs in order to “squeez[e] out some concessions.”[4]

In the eyes of critics, there are two different issues here. The first is economic warfare against China. America’s aggressive rival[5] has some serious weak spots. Most noticeably, these include “a spiraling property market, perilous local government finances, a shrinking labor force, and brittle consumer confidence.”[6] Since the first Trump administration, many American companies have been pulling back from China. The country is vulnerable to pressure.

China hawks felt ambivalent about tariffs. The very smart Aaron Friedberg,[7] took a hopeful view. To resist “Chinese mercantilism,” tariffs “in a more targeted, tailored form” can be useful. Tariffs on everyone else, however, would impede formation of an anti-China alliance.[8] Meanwhile, China is exploiting every opportunity to build an anti-American alliance. Why increase the number of volunteers?

The second is the tariffs on everyone else. The tariffs on Mexico and Cananda “could throw American diplomatic relationships and global supply chains into disarray.”[9]

What does China do with all the dollars it earns from selling to America?

[1] “The bottom line,” The Week 24 January 2025, p. 32.

[2] “Trade: Trump readies tariffs on rivals and allies,” The Week, 31 January 2025, p. 32.

[3] No, he’s all too real.

[4] Gabriel Rubin in Reuters, quoted in “Trade: Trump readies tariffs on rivals and allies,” The Week, 31 January 2025, p. 32.

[5] “A toughish lot, but very go ahead, rather like we were in the old days.”—Sam Collins to George Smiley in John LeCarre, Smiley’s People.

[6] Eswar Prasad in NYT, quoted in “China: Does Trump really want a trade war?” The Week, 17 January 2025, p. 34.

[7] See: Aaron Friedberg – Wikipedia

[8] Friedberg’s blog at Foreign Policy, quoted in “China: Does Trump really want a trade war?” The Week, 17 January 2025, p. 34.

[9] Ana Swanson in NYT, quoted in “Trade: Trump readies tariffs on rivals and allies,” The Week, 31 January 2025, p. 32.

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 10.

Posted on March 21, 2025 by jsh54

Elon Musk kept swinging his scythe through the federal workforce, firing 7,000 people at the IRS and an additional 1,400 from Veterans Affairs, while warning the Environmental Protection Agency to expect a 65 percent reduction in force from its current 17,000 employees.[1]

Then, at the end of February 2025, Elon Musk had the Office of Personnel Management e-mail, oh, several million federal civilian employees. The message instructed them to submit a five bullet-point list of the major stuff that they had done the previous week. Failure to comply would be taken as a resignation.

Federal employees, their union representatives, and the Democratic Party responded with their competing imitations of Albert Goldman.[2] About a dozen Secretaries of Departments rallied to the defense of their employees. The latter seemed to some observers like the leaders being captured by their followers. President Donald Trump may have seen it in that light because he gave Musk pride of place at a televised Cabinet meeting.

The themes in the criticism were as before: Musk is an “unelected” person culling the ranks of the unelected employees wielding the power of the federal government; and lots of Americans—Republicans and Democrats alike–depend upon the federal government for income or medical care or education. The appeal to elected politicians to keep things as they are against the actions of the unelected man-child genius seeking to avert national bankruptcy captures the spirit of the enterprise. It is disruption of the Old Order and NOT kicking the can down the road that arouses resistance. In addition, it is argued that cutting employees from Veterans Affairs will harm veterans. In reality, for at least twenty years people who deal with Veterans Affairs have been complaining that it is the most messed-up organization that they have ever seen. A string of good leaders (e.g. Eric Shinseki) have failed in their efforts to fix it. Finally, it is asserted that the cuts to the IRS will just hinder efforts to get the rich to pay their “fair share.” This is an ever-green political issue. Democrats like having it as an issue with which to bash the Republicans, but they will not actually raise taxes on the rich when they could.[3]

Then, to be asked to briefly state what work one did last week doesn’t seem unusual or difficult. Corporations—both in America and around the world—carry out reductions in force whenever the balance sheet tips too much into the red. Often, they’re not too strategic about where the axe falls. It isn’t regarded as the end of the world.

On the other hand, government isn’t a business. Ideally, the government does things for society that are essential or highly desirable, but for which there is no reasonable private sector provider. The Departments of Defense, State, Justice, the Treasury, and the CIA and NSA for example. Then there is the government’s role in funding and coordinating scientific and medical research, and managing a system of air traffic control. Moreover, the “bureaucracy” isn’t staffed only with drones. It recruits many specialist experts. Sweeping purges will cause a bunch of things to go wrong soon. And once the experts get the heave, it will be hard to lure them back.

[1] “DOGE slashes workforce with Trump’s backing,” The Week, 7 March 2025, p. 5.

[2] The character played by the great Nathan Lane in “The Birdcage” (dir. Mike Nichols, 1996).

[3] The Biden administration’s “American Rescue Plan” passed the Senate 50-49; its “Inflation Reduction Act” passed the Senate 51-50. Both used “Reconciliation” to by-pass the filibuster. Higher taxes easily could have been included if they actually wanted to make the rich pay “their fair share.” Same for repealing the “debt ceiling.”

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 9.

Posted on February 27, 2025 by jsh54

New York City Mayor Eric Adams had been critical of President Joe Biden’s policy on illegal immigration. He became so after the administration’s “Remain in Texas” policy had collapsed, flooding Democratic cities in the North with illegal immigrants. Adams and newly-elected President Donald Trump drew together. So far, so good. Bipartisanship is still possible!

However, a problem existed. Federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York had accused Adams of various serious crimes. It seemed possible, if not certain, that Adams would be out as mayor.

In mid-February 2025, Acting Deputy Attorney General Emil Bove declared that the mayor’s parochial legal difficulties were harming his ability to assist the President’s national immigration policy.[1] Bove ordered Danielle Sassoon, the acting United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, to drop the charges against Adams “without prejudice.” Sassoon requested a meeting with Attorney General Pam Bondi to discuss her concerns that this was a corrupt bargain; Bondi declined to meet with Sassoon, who then resigned. Bove then ordered Sassoon’s deputy to dismiss the charges. He got a less politely phrased response than Sassoon had provided, and the deputy resigned. So did a bunch of other lawyers who wouldn’t be caught dead doing what Bove wanted. Finally, the charges did get dismissed. Then four deputy mayors of New York City resigned.[2]

At the moment, Adams remains Mayor. Perhaps not for long. Voters will have a chance to turf him out at the next election. They’re likely to do so. Adams is besmirched by the deal, so the chances of him losing re-elections are increased. New York Governor Kathy Hochul has contemplated removing him from office even before an election. The Department of Justice retains great leverage over Adams. The charges were dismissed “without prejudice.” This means that they can be reinstated whenever the Trump administration finds Adams insufficiently co-operative with something (anything) in the future. Or even when he is no more use to them.

What does the Trump administration get out of this deal? It gets unrestricted access to the denizens of New York City’s vast jail system. Any illegal immigrant who is arrested for something is liable to find themselves on a federal government airplane bound for a banana republic.[3] In effect, the NYPD becomes an extension of the effort to expel illegal immigrants.

Trump, Bove, and Adams have come in for much abuse in the media for their apparent deal. So they should. If the sweeping pardons for the 6 January 2021 rioters[4] are added to this deal, then the administration can’t escape being called for its own “weaponization” of the law.

Nor is Adams out of the woods even over the short-term. Bove may have requested that the charges be dropped, but the presiding judge has to agree to it. It isn’t certain that he will agree. On the one hand, the whole thing stinks to high Heaven. On the other hand, prosecutors cut deals with criminals all the time. They do so when the alleged criminal agrees to cooperate with the government in pursuit of some larger goal. The government can argue that there’s no difference between Adams and a drug-dealer. OK, not a good re-election campaign slogan.

[1] “The U.S. at a Glance,” The Week, 21 February 2025, p. 7.

[2] “Justice Department: Condoning corruption under Trump?” The Week, 28 February 2025, p. 6.

[3] I can just hear people saying “You mean ANOTHER banana republic!”

[4] “Cop-beaters” in the frank words of the Wall Street Journal.

Diary of the Second Addams Administration.

Posted on February 25, 2025 by jsh54

Is the bureaucracy of the Executive Branch of the government of the United States lean, agile, innovative, and filled with able idealists? Or is it bloated, hide-bound, unwieldy, and ill-suited to the needs of the new century? It’s a fair question to ask.

President Donald Trump and Court Wizard Elon Musk appear to believe that it is the latter, rather than the former. For Trump, there seems to be the added flaw in the bureaucracy’s hostility to him during his first term. He may well want “revenge” both for their past hostility and to prevent anticipated resistance in his second term. For his part, Musk portrayed himself as battling an “unelected bureaucracy” in order to “restore the will of the people.”

Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has taken on the task of reducing the federal workforce.[1] In mid-February 2025, DOGE began firing people in big chunks and very rapidly. In addition to the thousands of US AID workers on the chopping block, the Department of Agriculture took a heavy hit: 4,000 at the Department and a further 3,400 at its subordinate National Forest Service. Health and Human Services lost 5,200; the Energy Department lost 2,000; and the Department of Veterans Affairs lost 1,000.[2] Within these departments, some areas were hit particularly hard: the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Institutes of Health, the Food and Drug Administration, and the National Nuclear Security Administration. More lay-offs took place at the Federal Aviation Agency and the National Park Service.[3] All this is alarming to terrifying.

At the same time, and with murky intent, DOGE went after the vast troves of data on ordinary Americans held by the federal government in the data centers of the Social Security Administration, the Internal Revenue Service, the Treasury, and other agencies.[4]

In his first term, Trump caught a lot of criticism for treating China as a real danger by plastering it with tariffs, trying to build a wall at the southern border to resist massive illegal immigration, and denigrating our NATO allies. Then Joe Biden kept the tariffs, Russia’s attack on Ukraine revealed that the European allies have been pacifists for decades, and the failure to resist illegal immigration helped cost the Democrats the 2024 election. Now, some Democrats are admitting that a problem exists, even while they drag on Trump’s coat-tails. One journalist at the Washington Post accepted that problems did exist with the federal bureaucracy, but objected to indiscriminate mass firing. On the other hand, others stuck to their last, claiming that the firings were part of “a coup.” Competent civil servants would be driven out to make space for incompetent Trump loyalists. That argument is hard to refute when Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Kash Patel, and Peter Hegseth can be offered as evidence.

Two questions arise. One, is Trump just trying to scare the bureaucracy into compliance? Two, how can a log-jammed legislature reform and reduce a behemoth?

[1] “Trump makes mass layoffs across government,” The Week, 28 February 2025, p. 4.

[2] Currently, the federal government employs about 2.1 million civilians and about 600,000 military personnel.

[3] For context, the Department of Agriculture which includes the National Forest Service, employed 93,000 people at the end of the Biden administration, so the cuts amount to about 7.5 percent of the workforce; Health and Human Services employed about 83,000 people, so the cuts amount to about 6 percent of the workforce; The Department of Energy employed 14,000 civilians and 93,000 contractors, so the cuts amounted to 14 percent of the civilian workforce; and the Department of Veteran Affairs employed over 400,000 people, so the cuts are microscopic.

[4] Why do they need such information? They aren’t saying. Why not? They’re up to something.

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 7.

Posted on February 15, 2025 by jsh54

Elon Musk posed a question during a meeting with the press in the Oval Office: “If the bureaucracy is in charge, then what meaning does democracy actually have?”[1] It’s a fair question. In the guise of the “administrative state,” has concerned political scientists for some time.[2] A revolt against the “Eurocrats” of the European Union is a large part of what drove “Brexit.”[3] In short, there’s serious intellectual positions behind some of President Donald Trump’s policies, along with all the other motivations.

Trump has issued a snowstorm of Executive Orders (EOs).[4] Democrats in Congress could think of nothing to do, so they blustered. Progressive journalists fumed that “Musk is in charge of the U.S. government.” Until Trump casts him aside as he did others before.

Not so with many groups and people outside of Congress. “The old plan sufficeth them”: they sued. As a former White House lawyer said, agencies and laws created by Congress can only be closed by Congress. What Trump is doing is “shattering the fundamental checks and balances of our constitutional order.”[5] Attorneys General in Democratic states and unions representing federal employees went to law. Judges—Democrats and Republicans—issued temporary stays on a bunch of the administration’s policies.

The administration did not always comply with these court orders. Vice President JD Vance argued that “judges aren’t allowed to control the executive’s legitimate power.” What constitutes “the executive’s legitimate power”? Lawyers and the courts will sort out that claim.[6] Elon Musk said that the judge who had barred his men from Department of the Treasury records should be impeached.[7] President Trump himself said that his administration was searching out corruption and that “maybe we have to look at the judges.”[8]

Nothing dismayed, the administration ripped away $900 million from one agency within the Department of Education. The group “tracks student progress and educational best practices.” Declining student test scores indicate that the taxpayers aren’t getting much for their money.

What happens when Trump and Musk start cutting at the Department of Health and Human Services, or at Social Security, or at the Department of Defense? Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security, and Defense are three of the four leading shares of government spending. As Willy Sutton said when asked why he robbed banks: “It’s where the money is.”

[1] “Trump, allies rage at courts amid judicial pushback,” The Week, 21 February 2025, p. 4.

[2] See: Administrative state – Wikipedia

[3] Although it is possible that an English hatred of the Scots after the campaign for Scottish independence also contributed to the surge of nationalism. In news broadcasts, Cross of St. George flags were all over the place.

[4] See: Diary of the Second Addams Administration 2. | waroftheworldblog

[5] Charles Raul in the Washington Post, quoted in “Trump, allies rage at courts amid judicial pushback,” The Week, 21 February 2025, p. 4.

[6] Top of the line in utility sports,Unexplained fires are a matter for the courts! #thesimpsons – YouTube “Unexplained fires are a matter for the courts.”

[7] On the status of Federal judges, see: United States federal judge – Wikipedia Impeachment is probably the only way to remove a federal judge before s/he dies. It would take a two-thirds majority in the Senate to remove a judge. In the current state of the Senate, this will not happen. So Musk is annoying a judge in the Southern District of New York, which deals with all sorts of complicated cases touching on financial crimes, among other things. Smart.

[8] “If you gaze long enough into an abyss, the abyss will gaze into you”—Friedrich Nietzsche. If you see my point. Guy wrote the best bumper-stickers.

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 6.

Posted on February 12, 2025 by jsh54

President Donald Trump tasked “Special Government Employee” Elon Musk with downsizing government.[1] Musk, it is often pointed out, is an “unelected billionaire.”[2] Musk immediately exhibited the drive and ruthlessness that made him a billionaire in the first place. In his own offensive phrase, he and his myrmidons “spent the weekend feeding US AID into the wood chipper.”[3] He also sent his people into the Treasury Department Finance section, the General Services Administration, the Office of Personnel Management, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the Veterans Administration, the Department of Commerce, and the Department of Education. In most cases, they seemed to be after the computer and record systems.[4] Along the way, Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.) e-mailed federal employees offering a choice between resigning now and receiving eight months’ pay or risking being fired at some point in the future.

Criticism followed. Senator Charles Schumer warned that “an unelected shadow government is conducting a hostile takeover of the federal government.” Yale historian Timothy Snyder called it “a coup.” Journalist David Rothkopf warned of the approach of “the worst form of malevolent dictatorship.” Senator Elizabeth Warren insisted that “Elon Musk is seizing the power that belongs to the American people.”[5]

Lawyers saw the Musk task force’s actions as “wildly illegal” and unconstitutional. Neither they nor President Trump can close down federal agencies created by Congress or impound funds appropriated by Congress.

A final, perhaps revealing, criticism is of the people doing Musk’s work. They are “a coterie of engineers barely out of college.” They are “young” and they are “engineers.” In contrast, Charles Schumer is 74, Elizabeth Warren is 75, Dick Durbin is 79, Mark Warner is 70, Amy Klobuchar is 64, Tammy Baldwin is 62, Cory Booker is 55, Chris Murphy is 52. All are lawyers. Many of the younger-than-them people on their staffs doubtless are also lawyers.

Do engineers and lawyers think in different ways? Not being one or the other, it’s difficult to say. However, law schools instill a reverence for precedent.[6] Engineering schools emphasize problem-solving and simplification.[7] On the second issue of older versus younger, there are both stereotypes and more evidence-based analyses.[8] It should surprise no one that young engineers think and act differently from aged lawyers. One thing that is clear is that the “Old Order” is unable to address our national problems. Will a “New Order” make them worse?

[1] Musk is commonly identified as “the world’s richest person,” rather than as the “creator of several massively innovative companies—including one that may have to bring back two astronauts stranded on Gilligan’s Satellite.

[2] All Cabinet members are “unelected.” According to a 2021 article in Forbes, the median wealth in the “poor man’s cabinet” of Joe Biden was $5.5 million; average wealth was $6.8 million. The figures were far higher for the first Trump cabinet, and for the first Obama cabinet. Musk isn’t a cabinet-member, but the principle is the same.

[3] Bing Videos Well, he likes the Coen Brothers.

[4] “Musk launches offensive on government agencies,” The Week, 14 February 2025, p. 4.

[5] Although, in fact, the American people delegated all those powers to their elected government. The current head of the Executive Branch of that government is Donald Trump.

[6] Precedent – Wikipedia

[7] There is an interesting analysis at Do Engineers Think Differently? Yes, Learn The 6 Ways | Engineer Calcs

[8] See: Old Versus Young: The Cultural Generation Gap | The Pew Charitable Trusts and II. Generations Apart — and Together | Pew Research Center

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 5.

Posted on February 11, 2025 by jsh54

From the adoption of the Constitution until 1974, Presidents were assumed to have the power—inherent in their office–to not spend money appropriated by Congress.[1] In 1801, Thomas Jefferson chose to prioritize debt reduction over national defense. He impounded $50,000 that had been appropriated for gunboats requested by the Navy. Many of his successors impounded funds.

By the early 1970s, members of Congress believed that President Richard Nixon was abusing his official powers in a variety of ways. One example came in his impoundment of appropriated funds. Nixon held up spending on “water pollution control, education and health programs and highway and housing construction.”[2] The amount came to “$53.2‐billion during its first five years in office.”[3] In the context of other struggles with President Nixon, House Speaker Carl Albert called it a struggle between Congress and “one-man rule.” On a broadly bipartisan basis, Congress struck back. The Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974 barred the President from impounding funds appropriated by Congress.[4] It did permit a Presidential request for “rescission” if approved by Congress.[5] Already mired in “Watergate,” Nixon signed the bill into law. As a result of Nixon’s surrender, the law was never tested before the Supreme Court. Do extreme cases make good law?

That doesn’t mean that Presidents think that impoundment is a bad idea. Presidents Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George H. W. Bush, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama all supported the restoration of the authority stripped from the office because of that damn fool Nixon. Other unsuccessful candidates for President—John McCain, Al Gore, and John Kerry—supported restoring the authority to impound.[6]

Which brings us to President Trump. During the campaign, he promised to “squeeze the bloated federal bureaucracy for massive savings.”[7] From the get-go he stopped appropriated spending on D.I.E. initiatives; payments to non-governmental organizations; foreign aid (for a 90 day review period); and all federal loans and grants (almost immediately rescinded). Trump wants to bring the issue to the Supreme Court for the hearing it didn’t get in the 1970s.

The key issue here is self-restraint. The ballooning national debt, fueled by unbalanced annual budgets, threatens the financial stability of the government. Nixon’s abuse of the powers of his office went well beyond what other presidents had done, alarming many people in both parties. Trump seems determined to disrupt the established “way we do things around here” patterns that have taken the United States to the brink of multiple crises. He, too, is alarming people in both parties. He wouldn’t be on the verge of shifting the balance of power if all of us had shown more self-restraint. Not meant as an exculpation of Trump.

[1] Impoundment of appropriated funds – Wikipedia

[2] Richard D. Lyons, “Nixon’s Impounding of Billions in Federal Money Is Complicated Issue, Abounding in Misconceptions,” NYT, 7 October 1973.

[3] Compared to $39 billion impounded by Lyndon Johnson.

[4] Passed by the House 385-23 (204 Democrats and 181 Republicans voting in favor); passed by the Senate 80-0 (50 Democrats and 29 Republicans).

[5] Since then, Congress has rarely approved rescission requests, so Presidents rarely request them.

[6] President Joe Biden did not.

[7] Charlie Savage, “Are Presidents Empowered to Block Spending Authorized by Congress?” NYT, 29 January 2025.

Diary of the Second Addams Administration 4.

Posted on February 7, 2025 by jsh54

“Teflon Don.”

Republicans long accused Democrats of waging “lawfare” against Donald Trump, either to bait the Republicans into making him their candidate so that Joe Biden could beat him in November 2024 or to render him incapable of holding office without asking the voters what they preferred. There is something to be said on both sides of some of the cases, and nothing at all that can be said against others.[1]

In early December 2024, Special Counsel Jack Smith asked a judge to dismiss—without prejudice—two cases against President-elect Donald Trump. Department of Justice policy bars prosecuting a sitting president. In late January 2025, Judge Juan Merchan decided that he couldn’t “encroach…on the highest office in the land” by jailing President-elect Donald Trump for his conviction in the New York City hush-money case. The conviction stands.[2]

Soon afterward, President Trump issued a blanket pardon for almost 1,600 people convicted by federal prosecutors for their part in the 6 January 2021 riot. Why did he do this when two-thirds of Americans opposed pardons for “violent” offenders? Even his Vice President, J.D. Vance had not expected him to go that far.

Trump went beyond just releasing the worst of his supporters. He appointed another supporter, Edward Martin, Jr., as interim United States attorney for Washington, D.C. Martin immediately ordered that all pending cases be dismissed. Then he ordered a review of the use of felony obstruction charges against the rioters. Democrats feared that the released rioters might feel empowered to threaten their prosecutors.[3]

On his way out the door, “I’m-still-President” Joe Biden—predictably, understandably—broke his promise not to pardon his son Hunter Biden. He pardoned him for both those things of which he had been convicted and of anything else he might have done since 2014. Biden argued that Hunter had been “selectively and unfairly prosecuted” by Biden’s own Justice Department.[4] Believing that Trump would seek “revenge” on everyone who displeased him, Biden issued pardons to people like Dr. Anthony Fauci, General Mark Milley, the members of the House 6 January investigative committee, and the Capitol police officers who testified before the committee. He also pardoned another five members of his family.[5]

Angry Special Counsels took their last shots. David Weiss, who had investigated Hunter Biden, denounced Joe Biden’s “baseless allegations.” Jack Smith, who had investigated Trump, insisted that he could have convicted him if he hadn’t been able to shelter in the White House.[6]

“I fought the law and the law…lost.” Grubby versus Filthy.

[1] Alvin Bragg and Laetitia James both ran for their state elective offices with promises to prosecute Trump. Fani Willis may have had a partisan motivation, but she built a substantial (perhaps overly ambitious) case. Jack Smith seems to have had Trump dead to right on the purloined documents case. He probably had at least as good a case as did Willis on the election interference case. For Republican charges of “lawfare,” see “Trump: Beyond the reach of law,” The Week, 13 December 2024, p. 17.

[2] “Trump: Prosecutions end with a whimper,” The Week, 24 January 2025, p. 17.

[3] “Impunity: MAGA violence is A-OK,” The Week, 7 February 2025, p. 16.

[4] “Biden: Why he broke his promise not to pardon Hunter,” The Week, 13 December 2024, p. 6.

[5] “Biden: A flurry of last-minute pardons,” The Week, 31 January 2025, p. 17.

[6] The Week, 24 January 2025, pp. 6 and 7.

“The System Is Blinking Red” 3.

Posted on February 7, 2025 by jsh54

In 1989-1990, the Soviet Union collapsed. With it went the credibility of autarkic, centrally-planned economies. Determined to maintain its monopoly on power, the Communist Party of the Peoples’ Republic of China hastened to adopt a new course. It opened China to the global market and capitalist methods. Essentially, use foreign-supplied capital and technology to become the workshop of the world. Start by making cheap simple stuff, then climb up the ladder. Pull its people out of impoverished rural life into urban prosperity. Pull China out of Developing Country status into global power.

American business and political leaders took an optimistic view of these developments. China would be a cheap producers of consumer goods for Western markets, raising living standards for Western peoples by lowering costs. China would become a consumer of high-end Western products and expertise. An economic revolution in China would create a growing—and increasingly assertive—middle class. This would nudge China toward political democracy.[1] Naturally, there would be some job losses suffered in the West. Experience with the rise of Japan in the 1970s and 1980s showed that displaced workers would shuffle into new jobs.

In 2001, China won admission to the World Trade Organization. Many restrictions on Chinese exports were removed. Things did not work out as planned. China moved much faster than expected and on a much larger scale than had been expected. “Many U.S. manufacturing towns couldn’t compete.”[2] Factories downsized. Manufacturing shrank as a source of employment in many towns. Some workers were laid off, but most were attritted through retirement. They were not replaced. Most of the displaced workers were White and Black men without a college education.

Then, it seemed, the hard-hit areas bounced back. They didn’t return to the original state. Instead, “affected areas recover[ed] primarily by adding workers to non-manufacturing who were below working age when the shock occurred. Entrants are disproportionately native-born Hispanics, foreign-born immigrants, women, and the college-educated, who find employment in relatively low-wage service sectors such as medical services, education, retail, and hospitality.”[3]

Readers may question the argument that “towns” came back, while “workers” did not. “Those communities experienced higher unemployment, lower wages, higher use of food stamps, higher disability payments, higher rates of single parenthood and child poverty, and elevated mortality.”[4] Would make a good movie if John Sayles was still working.[5]

The natural response is to connect all this distress to the rejection of globalism and—eventually—to the rise of Donald Trump. What stands out, though, is the failed hopes of the people who set China policy and their failed sense of social solidarity when the choices they made had a harmful impact on ordinary people. Now US AID is on the block.

[1] That’s how it had worked in Western Europe in the 18^th and 19^th Centuries. Why wouldn’t it be the same with China?

[2] Justin Lahart, “How ‘China Shock’ Upended U.S. Workers,” WSJ, 5 February 2025. Lahart is reporting on a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper by David Autor, et al.

[3] Places versus People: The Ins and Outs of Labor Market Adjustment to Globalization | NBER

[4] Justin Lahart, “How ‘China Shock’ Upended U.S. Workers,” WSJ, 5 February 2025.

[5] See: “Sunshine State” (2002) and “Casa de los babys” (2003).

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